• Subscribe
  • Magazines
  • About
  • Contact
  • Advertise
Sunday 11 May 2025
  • zh-hant 中文
  • ja 日本語
  • en English
IAG
Advertisement
  • Newsfeed
  • Mag Articles
  • Video
  • Opinion
  • Tags
  • Regional
    • Africa
    • Australia
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • CNMI
    • Europe
    • Hong Kong
    • India
    • Japan
    • Laos
    • Latin America
    • Malaysia
    • Macau
    • Nepal
    • New Zealand
    • North America
    • North Korea
    • Philippines
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • South Korea
    • Sri Lanka
    • Thailand
    • UAE
    • Vietnam
  • Events
  • Contributors
  • SUBSCRIBE FREE
  • 中文
  • 日本語
No Result
View All Result
IAG
  • Newsfeed
  • Mag Articles
  • Video
  • Opinion
  • Tags
  • Regional
    • Africa
    • Australia
    • Cambodia
    • China
    • CNMI
    • Europe
    • Hong Kong
    • India
    • Japan
    • Laos
    • Latin America
    • Malaysia
    • Macau
    • Nepal
    • New Zealand
    • North America
    • North Korea
    • Philippines
    • Russia
    • Singapore
    • South Korea
    • Sri Lanka
    • Thailand
    • UAE
    • Vietnam
  • Events
  • Contributors
  • SUBSCRIBE FREE
  • 中文
  • 日本語
No Result
View All Result
IAG
No Result
View All Result

Hong Kong border delay to constrain Macau GGR recovery until October Golden Week: Jefferies

Ben Blaschke by Ben Blaschke
Thu 23 Jul 2020 at 03:49
Amax shareholders approve company name change, mobile games apps sale

Hong Kong

70
SHARES
1.7k
VIEWS
Print Friendly, PDF & Email

The reopening of Hong Kong’s borders to Macau and Guangdong Province could be aimed for October Golden Week, leaving Macau’s gaming operators with a lengthy wait before returning to profitability, according to investment bank Jefferies.

In a research note published Wednesday, Jefferies analyst Andrew Lee lowered his GGR forecast to reflect a 70% year-on-year decline for FY20, down from a previous forecast of a 45% fall, based largely on delays to a proposed three-way trave bubble between the three jurisdictions.

“The wait for Hong Kong could delay the recovery into 4Q20,” Lee said.

“Hong Kong’s issue is the current third wave of COVID-19 and still officially lacking a universally-recognized health code system. The Hong Kong government noted that Hong Kong would be virus clean if there are no local transmissions for two 14-day incubation periods, which translates to 28 days.

“Hence, we expect the sector is likely to remain loss-making until September and the re-opening target could be timed for China’s Golden Week between 1 to 7 October 2020.

“Based on this, we cut our GGR growth forecasts to decline 70% this year and estimate 3Q20 could be another quarter of EBITDA loss unless operators continue to cut costs. We estimate 2021 GGR rebounding 162% year-on-year; this is still -22% below 2019 levels.”

Lee noted that earnings would not be the key focus for operators during the 2Q20 earnings release season, who will instead look to key recovery drivers.

“The next key driver should be IVS re-issuance and, more importantly, for Guangdong, given this province accounted for 72% of total Chinese issued IVS,” he said.

“We believe the IVS would likely be relaxed on an individual Chinese province-by-province basis and individual cities within each province. Group tours are likely to follow the same relaxation pattern, but is not a key GGR driver.

“We believe this could be a tailored phased recovery to wait for Hong Kong given China/HK/Macau’s focus on the Greater Bay region.”

RelatedPosts

Melco prices US$750 million Senior Notes offering

Melco locking in approval to fully complete US$500 million share repurchase program

Tue 8 Apr 2025 at 06:13
Macau GGR hits new post-pandemic high of MOP$20.8 billion in October

Macquarie: Arrest of Macau casino hosts could impact Macau mass and premium mass markets in coming months

Tue 8 Apr 2025 at 06:12
Analysts puzzled as combined market cap of Macau concessionaires falls back to 2022 COVID levels

Macau’s Hong Kong-listed gaming stocks all fall by more than 10% Monday on impact of US tariffs

Mon 7 Apr 2025 at 18:55
Macau visitor arrivals up 15% month-on-month to 3.3 million in February

Around 410,000 visitors entered Macau during the three-day Qingming Festival holiday

Mon 7 Apr 2025 at 12:32
Load More
Tags: Andrew Leeborder restrictionsCasino Golden Dragoncovid-19Hong KongMacauTravel bubble
Share28Share5
Ben Blaschke

Ben Blaschke

A former sports journalist in Sydney, Australia, Ben has been Managing Editor of Inside Asian Gaming since early 2016. He played a leading role in developing and launching IAG Breakfast Briefing in April 2017 and oversees as well as being a key contributor to all of IAG’s editorial pursuits.

Current Issue

Editorial – The real reason Philippines casino revenues are down

Editorial – The real reason Philippines casino revenues are down

by Ben Blaschke
Sun 30 Mar 2025 at 23:04

After enjoying a post-COVID surge in gaming revenues at its licensed casinos, the Philippines has hit a rocky patch. In...

Inside Thai IRs

Inside Thai IRs

by Andrew W Scott and Ben Blaschke
Sun 30 Mar 2025 at 22:59

No time to read this whole article? Here are the bullet points! With passage of Thailand’s Entertainment Complex Bill through...

Resorts World Las Vegas – Lighting up the north

Resorts World Las Vegas – Lighting up the north

by Andrew W Scott and Ben Blaschke
Sun 30 Mar 2025 at 22:52

Inside Asian Gaming recently visited Genting’s American icon Resorts World Las Vegas to take a closer look at a property...

A baccarat perspective

A baccarat perspective

by Ryan Hong-Wai Ho
Sun 30 Mar 2025 at 22:37

In the first of a two-part series, Ryan Ho explores how gaming innovations and market changes have shaped the prominence...

Evolution Asia
Aristocrat
GLI
Mindslot
Solaire
Hann
Tecnet
Nustar
Jumbo

Related Posts

Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim talks after deal sealed to acquire Australia’s Star Entertainment

Bally’s Chairman Soo Kim talks after deal sealed to acquire Australia’s Star Entertainment

by Newsdesk
Wed 9 Apr 2025 at 06:16

Star Entertainment Group confirmed Monday it had entered into a binding term sheet with US casino operator Bally’s Corp to take control of the company as part of a US$300 million (US$180 million) deal. The term sheet, comprising a multi-tranche...

China-owned contractor of Chow Tai Fook’s Baha Mar ordered to pay US$1.6 billion to original owner for “many acts of fraud”

New York appellate court dismisses China Construction America’s appeal in US$1.6 billion Baha Mar fraud case

by Ben Blaschke
Wed 9 Apr 2025 at 05:59

A New York court has dismissed an appeal by China Construction America, Inc (CCA) against a Supreme Court ruling in October requiring it to pay US$1.6 billion to the original owner of Bahamas casino resort Baha Mar for committing “many acts...

Trade union warns massively increased casino pokies tax in NSW will cost jobs

Pub baron Bruce Mathieson agrees additional AU$100 million Star investment, reduces Bally’s contribution to AU$200 million

by Ben Blaschke
Wed 9 Apr 2025 at 05:40

Star Entertainment Group’s largest individual shareholder Investment Holdings Pty Ltd has entered into a binding term sheet with US casino operator Bally’s Corp that will see it subscribe for AU$100 million (US$60 million) in convertible bonds, reducing in the process...

RWLV names former MGM executive Greg Shulman as EVP of International Marketing

RWLV names former MGM executive Greg Shulman as EVP of International Marketing

by Newsdesk
Wed 9 Apr 2025 at 05:35

Genting Group’s US flagship Resorts World Las Vegas (RWLV) has announced the appointment of casino industry veteran Greg Shulman as Executive Vice President of International Marketing. Continuing the property’s recent management overhaul, RWLV said Shulman will lead its international casino...



IAG

© 2005-2024
Inside Asian Gaming.
All rights reserved.

  • SUBSCRIBE FREE
  • NEWSFEED
  • MAG ARTICLES
  • VIDEO
  • OPINION
  • TAGS
  • REGIONAL
  • EVENTS
  • CONSULTING
  • CONTRIBUTORS
  • MAGAZINES
  • ABOUT
  • CONTACT
  • ADVERTISE
  • 中文
  • 日本語

No Result
View All Result
  • 中文
  • 日本語
  • Subscribe
  • Newsfeed
  • Mag Articles
  • Video
  • Opinion
  • Tags
  • Regional
  • Events
  • Contributors
  • Magazines
  • Advertise
  • Contact
  • About
  • Home for G2E Asia

© 2005-2024
Inside Asian Gaming.
All rights reserved.

  • 中文
  • English
  • 日本語